Friday 10/09/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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MLB LONG SHEET

Friday, October 9

MINNESOTA (87 - 77) at NY YANKEES (104 - 59) - 6:07 PM
NICK BLACKBURN (R) vs. A.J. BURNETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BLACKBURN is 11-25 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BLACKBURN is 10-23 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BLACKBURN is 1-12 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 68-36 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 17-3 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY YANKEES are 104-59 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 60-45 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 59-44 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 74-67 (+8.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 87-77 (+1.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 18-8 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
MINNESOTA is 27-10 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 8-0 (+8.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

NICK BLACKBURN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BLACKBURN is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.89 and a WHIP of 1.799.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BURNETT is 2-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.371.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (95 - 67) at LA ANGELS (97 - 65) - 9:35 PM
JOSH BECKETT (R) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 5-4 (+1.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BECKETT is 3-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.251.
His team's record is 4-6 (-5.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)

JERED WEAVER vs. BOSTON since 1997
WEAVER is 2-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.299.
His team's record is 3-6 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.7 units)
 
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WNBA LONG SHEET


Friday, October 9

INDIANA (28 - 15) at PHOENIX (29 - 15) - 10/9/2009, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-5 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NHL ADDITIONAL

Friday, October 9

Trend Report

7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. CAROLINA
Florida is 2-16-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Florida is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Carolina is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Carolina is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. CALGARY
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Calgary is 5-8-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Calgary's last 24 games when playing at home against Dallas
 
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NHL WRITE-UP


Friday, October 9

Hot Teams
-- Flames won their first four games, scoring 17 goals.

Cold Teams
-- Carolina lost two of first three games, scoring four goals. Florida split its first two games overseas, scoring four goals.
-- Dallas Stars lost first two games, in SO/OT.

Series Records
-- Panthers lost 13 of their last 14 visits to Carolina.
-- Visitor won six of last eight Calgary-Dallas games.

Totals
-- Four of last five Carolina-Florida games stayed under the total.
-- First four Calgary games went over the total.
 
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The payoff pitch: Friday's best mound matchup

Josh Beckett (Boston Red Sox) vs. Jered Weaver (Los Angeles Angels)

Josh Beckett (17-6, 3.86 ERA)

The perception is that Beckett is the top postseason pitcher in the game, and his overall marks over 7-2 with three shutouts and a 2.90 ERA make that hard to argue. But his form last October was less than stellar.

Beckett started three games, going 1-0 with an 8.79 ERA while allowing seven homers. But the Red Sox lost his other two starts as he was hit hard by both the Angels in the Division Series and the Rays in the ALCS.

One of Beckett's postseason shutouts came against the Angels in 2007. But he was not as sharp against them in last year's ALDS and was 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA vs. the Angels this season.

Despite some back spasms, Beckett was 3-0 in his last four regular-season starts, getting a no-decision vs. the Angels. But he wasn't overwhelming, continuing a trend that saw him go 11-3 with a 3.35 ERA before the All-Star break and 6-3 with a 4.53 ERA afterward.

Beckett gets a little sloppy with runners aboard, allowing opposing batters to hit .279 with 75 RBI. He will have to be better in this series, but this has been his time of the season.

Jered Weaver (16-8, 3.63 ERA)

The Angels have one win in 10 postseason games against the Red Sox, and Weaver has it. Unfortunately, it came as a reliever.

Weaver pitched the last two frames of the Angels' 5-4 12-inning win in Game Three of the ALDS a year ago. He also took the loss in Game Three in 2007, allowing two runs in five innings.

This season, Weaver had good success against Boston, going 1-0 with an 0.66 ERA in two starts. Both of those outings came in the first six weeks of the season.

Weaver lost three straight starts in September before beating Oakland with five scoreless innings in his final regular-season outing. Despite the late slide, his ERA over his last seven starts was a sparkling 2.27.

As expected, Weaver is much tougher on righthanded hitters, limiting them to a .208 average. His 2.90 ERA at home is almost two runs better than it is on the road.

The righthander actually is easier to hit with the bases empty (.248) than with runners on (.242). With runners in scoring position, he held batters to a .200 average and two homers in 175 at-bats.
 
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees (-300, 10)

Whatever Kate Hudson is doing for Alex Rodriguez, Yankees fans want her to keep doing it.

A notorious no-show in the playoffs, A-Rod broke that trend with two hits and two RBIs in a 7-2 win against the Twins in Game 1 of the ALDS Wednesday. That performance snapped a 19-game playoff hitless streak with runners in scoring position while also giving him his first hit with RISP in his last 29 at-bats in 2009.

“It certainly felt good to get that hit out of the way,” Rodriguez told the New York Times.

A-Rod had a quiet season while teammates Derek Jeter and Mark Teixeira grabbed headlines. He missed a good chunk of time at the beginning of the schedule but still finished with a .286 BA, 30 home runs and 100 RBIs.

“It just feels good to contribute and do the little things,” Rodriguez said. “That’s what we’ve been trying to talk about all year.”

The Yankees improved their numbers against the Twins in Game 1. For the season, they batted .300, hit 12 home runs and averaged just under six runs per game in their seven contests with Minnesota. New York improved to 8-0 versus the Twins with Wednesday series-opening win.

Pick: New York -300
 

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For those on you who read this thread yesterday, I tried GarciaCovers.com and he went 4-0 yesterday in NHL. He is hitting 90% on all sports. He has 2 game and 4 game progressions.

I tried to see if anyone wanted to slpit, but I had no takers, so I bought a week and he went 4-0 in hockey and said he has a big card for Saturday NCAAF where he is hitting 92% with a 33-3 record. I will see for the rest of the week how he does and if its good would anyone want to split his month package?


POST GARCIA PLAYS IF HE DOES GOOD PEOPLE WILL SPLIT IT WITH YOU:howdy:
 

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Well, after last night 50,000 unit LOSS, i doubt anyone wants to... :laugh:

I said yesterday that I had 5 days left....now I'm not so sure. I may have misinterpreted "30 days". When I first got it, I assumed it meant 30 calendar days. Then on one of his days off, it said that wouldn't count against the packages, so i assumed then that I got 30 picks. So before yesterday, I only had 25 picks, yesterday being the 26th. But my account seems to indicate this is my last day. I'm still looking for people to split a new 30 day package. So far I still only have 1 commitment, and that is only if we get 5 total, so the price is $50/each.

FRANK PATRON
10000 UNIT COLLEGE LOCK
NEVADA WOLFPACK -11
 

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I am very hesitant to bet any cappers first ever raise the bar whatever units play like Patron last night. I see these guys use this first ever number tactic, and when it doesn't hit it doesn't count against his good record he has on his 20,000 unit plays, and he basically just never uses that number again.
 

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Well, after last night 50,000 unit LOSS, i doubt anyone wants to... :laugh:
So if Missouri wouldn't have absolutely collapsed in the 4th Q, people would've wanted to? You need to work pretty hard to blow a 12 point lead, getting 3.5-4 points on top of that, when you've pitched a shut out for the first three quarters.
 

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looking at the game tonight, i am having trouble seeing nevada as a 10-point favorite.

their only win was last week, and they were tied 21-21 at the half (UNLV). UNLV made Missouri's 4th Quarter last night look good by comparison - getting shut out 28-0 in the last 15 minutes.

take it for what it's worth, but sagrin has the teams essentially even after factoring in home field - La Tech actually being the better team.

i have nevada -1.5 in an early-week teaser, but i'm leaning toward taking the 10.5 for a small play.

anyone have thoughts on this?
 

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looking at the game tonight, i am having trouble seeing nevada as a 10-point favorite.

their only win was last week, and they were tied 21-21 at the half (UNLV). UNLV made Missouri's 4th Quarter last night look good by comparison - getting shut out 28-0 in the last 15 minutes.

take it for what it's worth, but sagrin has the teams essentially even after factoring in home field - La Tech actually being the better team.

i have nevada -1.5 in an early-week teaser, but i'm leaning toward taking the 10.5 for a small play.

anyone have thoughts on this?

i think nevada covers tonight
they finally played like they were expected to all season last week. I think that momentum will carry over to tonight
:toast:
 

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Good Fellas
10/9/2009
1 BOX- CALGARY/DALLAS UNDER 5.5 -105 (10PM) CFL
1 BOX- INDY/PHO OVER 178 (9PM)*WNBA
1 BOX- UNDER 10 NY/MINNY (6PM) MLB
1 BOX- NEVADA -10.5 L TECH (9PM) NCAAF
1 BOX- BC +4 EDMONTON (9PM) CFL

It should be known this is NOT goodfella from Pregame .
 

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So if Missouri wouldn't have absolutely collapsed in the 4th Q, people would've wanted to? You need to work pretty hard to blow a 12 point lead, getting 3.5-4 points on top of that, when you've pitched a shut out for the first three quarters.


They got worked over in the 4th quarter. They were exposed and Patron should not have put such a big play on an unproven Missouri team against a hungry Nebraska team.
:ohno:
 

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I said yesterday that I had 5 days left....now I'm not so sure. I may have misinterpreted "30 days". When I first got it, I assumed it meant 30 calendar days. Then on one of his days off, it said that wouldn't count against the packages, so i assumed then that I got 30 picks. So before yesterday, I only had 25 picks, yesterday being the 26th. But my account seems to indicate this is my last day. I'm still looking for people to split a new 30 day package. So far I still only have 1 commitment, and that is only if we get 5 total, so the price is $50/each.

FRANK PATRON
10000 UNIT COLLEGE LOCK
NEVADA WOLFPACK -11

Wasn't this the cocksucker that cost me a bundle with his 500000 play on Missouri last night ?
 

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